Friday, 22 April 2016

Politico: Delegates Face Death Threats from Trump Supporters



Photo (c) Getty, provided on the Politico website


Politico ran an article today that I'd like to comment briefly on. (Delegates face death threats from Trump supporters)

I read media with a skeptical mind. Having said that, there are many signals in this article and other sources to worry about. 

On a broader scale, I have wondered since GW Bush just how long the American Republic would last. Can a system so obviously dominated by money and special interests survive? (I speak here non-ideologically: the money and special interests are on both sides of the aisle). 

The candidate pictured below, with his personal pledges of allegiance and his Mar-a-Lago, reminds me not so much of "bread and circuses", but of torchlit rallies and Berchtesgaden. This is the first time that I can recall a Presidential candidate openly organising around the threat of political violence. 

It's also the first time I can recall so much effort being placed on "influencing" convention delegates, both positively and negatively. Perhaps this is only the latest step in a general culture so enamoured of military, celebrity-success-at-any-price, and guns. But it does not bode well for the future. 

Civil liberties are already practically non-existent, or available only to the rich. 

We see daily just how badly the primary system and the general election systems work. 

We read how much more money each election costs, as if this were an acceptable cost of doing business. 

We read that a former lobbyist for the big bulge banks is appointed head of the SEC--the very institution charged with regulating those banks. And that the revolving door in politics is alive and well. 

We admire Frank Underwood and binge watch each new season of House of Cards precisely because it confirms what we all suspect. 

We accept that Hillary Clinton earns hundreds of thousands of dollars from banks, but that this does not influence her vote. 

If we are all frogs in a pot, just what temperature has the water reached?


(c) Philip Ammerman, 2016

Wednesday, 13 April 2016

Evidence of a Paphos Recovery




On a recent visit to Paphos, there were several signs that the economic situation is slowly turning around.

1.     The Pafos 2017 European Capital of Culture is creating significant interest. Booking allocations for 2017 are already being negotiated with foreign tour operators as well as event organisers. Moreover, Pafos Municipality has launched an ambitious renovation programme in the Harbour and City of Paphos, including 28th October Square and Tomb of the Kings Avenue.

2.     Paphos is becoming known as a golf destination. Four major golf resorts—Aphrodite Hills, Minthis Hills, Elea Estate and Secret Valley—have all seen record golf rounds played in 2015. The Cyprus Tourism Organisation and the Pafos Regional Tourism Committee are heavily promoting Cyprus as a golf destination.

3.    Incoming tourism arrivals to Cyprus and Paphos are growing. Arrivals grew by 9% in 2015, to 2.659 million, while revenue grew to nearly € 2.2 billion. Arrivals are expected to grow still further in 2016, based on early block bookings from European tour operators.

4.     The use of villa rentals as a substitute for hotel accommodation is growing. AirBNB and Booking.com are both heavily promoting villa and apartment rentals in Paphos, and the available stock of rental properties on both websites is increasing.

5.     Paphos International Airport is seeing a surge in passenger traffic. Total passenger traffic rose from 2.097 million in 2014 to 2.278 million in 2015. A growing number of carriers are flying into Pafos International Airport, including Ryanair, Easyjet, Nikki, Germania, Air Jordan, Finnair, Arkia, TUI, Thomas Cook and Thomson Airways.

6.    Banks have resumed mortgage lending for Cyprus residents.

7.     Foreign investors are buying Cyprus properties in Pafos for the investor citizenship and residency programmes.

These factors are combining to create an interesting set of signals for property investors and owners. Together with the stock of distressed or unfinished properties, there are significant commercial opportunities available in Paphos.


I was also recently interviewed by a great new destination portal, www.pafoscity.com. Check the video interview here.

(c) Philip Ammerman, 2016 

When will Airport Duty Free Retailers stop being Idiots?


I wonder whether the collective stupidity that characterises most retail interactions in airports will ever change.

This morning I flew Larnaca to Warsaw at 03:40. At Warsaw airport, I bought a 500 ml bottle of water at the duty free. Here is a record of the interaction.

Cashier: “Good morning. May I have your boarding pass?”
I hand over the boarding pass.

Cashier: “Is Vilnius your final destination?”
“Yes”

Cashier: “For statistics purposes, may I ask where are you from?”
“Athens”

Cashier: “That’s 6 zloty”.
I hand over 5 Euro.

Cashier: “I have to give you change in zloty.”
“Fine”

Cashier: “Here is your change.”
“Thank you”

Cashier: “Would you like a plastic bag for the water?”
“No”

Cashier: “Have a nice day!”

Fucking collective insanity. So much about this retail transaction is wrong.
  • Duty Free retailers do not need my boarding card, nor my final destination, nor where I am from. This is a gross violation of basic privacy rights.
  • In all my years travelling (and I am on the road 200+ days per year, with over 60 flight segments per year), no Duty Free retailer has ever actually used this data to improve my shopping experience, or even to contact me with anything relevant.
  • I am just buying a fucking, grossly-overpriced bottle of water.
  • I do not need a plastic bag for a bottle of water. The bottle is already damaging to the environment. Why make it worse?
  • It should be obvious that at 06:30 in the morning, even assuming I had slept the night before, that I don’t need a third-degree interrogation to buy a bottle of water.

  
This is a useless and offensive procedure. I had exactly the same experience in Larnaca, buying another over-priced bottle of water (€ 1.50 in Larnaca instead of € 2.00 in Warsaw). Right down to the offer of a plastic bag.

Is there any evidence of sentient life in Dufy retailer management? Is there any prospect of relief from the vast and collective stupidity which characterises most bureaucracies today?

Get a grip. Really.


© Philip Ammerman, 2016


Friday, 25 March 2016

Another March 25th Extravaganza



I'm writing this blog post on March 25th, which is Greek Independence Day. I've just returned from an early lunch of bakaliaro skordalia from a greasy spoon taverna in the district of Athens where my parents live.

Some notes:

1. The restaurant was fully-booked, with rush hour expected from 13:00 and later. People were being turned away at the door. This is despite the Greek economic crisis.

2. The managers, knowing there would be a rush, had pre-fried a large batch of bakaliaros (cod), which they served fried in batter. It was perhaps not the finest moment in Greek cuisine.

3. The bill came scribbled on paper. Not printed off the cash register.

4. Three people at three odious portions of cod plus boiled greens and taramosalata for € 30.00

5. Smoking was permitted inside the taverna.

Oh, and I was the youngest person in the restaurant -- for a while.

I wonder why so little in Greece seems to change, despite the very obvious need for it to change. And as usual, I have no answer.


(c) Philip Ammerman, 2016 

Monday, 21 March 2016

Wolfgang Muenchau has it exactly right on European policy towards Turkey and refugees

Wolfgang Muenchau has written a powerful article in the Financial Times which accurately describes what many of us in Greece and Cyprus are feeling.


The EU had two assets I have always considered un­assailable, however much I may have questioned various decisions. The first is a lack of alternatives. How else can Europeans confront climate change, a refugee crisis or an over-assertive Russian president if not through the EU?

The second is the moral high ground. Compared with the majority of its member states, the EU is less corrupt, more principled and rules-driven. Whereas the world of national politics is full of tacticians out to seek short-term gain, the bloc manages a better mix of politics and policies. It builds broad coalitions and formulates strategic policy objectives. Its horizon extends beyond the life of a parliament.
                       
Within a few years those assets have been demolished. The mismanagement of the eurozone crisis made it possible to formulate a rational economic argument for an exit.

Then, on Friday the EU lost its other key asset. The deal with Turkey is as sordid as anything I have seen in modern European politics. On the day that EU leaders signed the deal, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish president, gave the game away: “Democracy, freedom and the rule of law...For us, these words have absolutely no value any longer.” At that point, the European Council should have ended the conversation with Ahmet Davutoglu, the Turkish prime minister, and sent him home. But instead they made a deal with him — money and a lot more in return for help with the refugee crisis.

I find it interesting to what extent the European Commission has been bending over backwards to accommodate Angela Merkel's decision to open Germany's borders last year. Once again, another European decision is being made which:
  • Contradicts earlier decisions and international treaties.
  • Rewards Turkey for illegal activities occurring on its own soil, that the country has made few substantive attempts to interdict. I refer here to human trafficking, smuggling and the vast and obvious commercial presence built up around the process of moving hundreds of thousands of refugees and migrants at key points on Turkey's Aegean coastline.
  • Ignores the very visible human trafficking and smuggling operations on Turkish and Greek soil, instead deploying a bureaucracy-heavy mechanism to address a problem without understanding its commercial basis. 
  • Rewards Turkey by re-opening accession chapters, despite the fact that Turkey is--according to UN decision and international law--militarily occupying the territory of an EU Member State (Cyprus), which it also refuses to recognise. 
  • Promises visa-free travel for Turkish citizens into Europe without even the semblance of a democratic decision among European voters.
As Muenchau writes, this deal is both sordid and probably cannot be implemented. And it definitely calls into question why sovereignty should be shared, given the repeated, biased and catastrophic errors in European policy-making.

(c) Philip Ammerman, 2016

Saturday, 5 March 2016

Stephen Fry on the Parthenon Marbles

I missed this when it was first aired, but it is by far the most eloquent argument why the Parthenon Marbles should be returned to Athens that I have every heard. Stephen Fry has my vote.

https://youtu.be/1AsQa9ebVN4